Thanks BB for this post. I hope many people read the article and wonder about how AA is run.
I don't understand how agnostics (let alone atheists) can work the steps even if the word God is taken out. To me it doesn't solve many problems. You still have to believe in something other than yourself keeping you sober. I have yet heard a good logical explanation as to how this is possible.
Interestingly:
"For the last twenty-two years, there has been no growth in AA’s membership. In January of 2012 the number of members worldwide was recorded at 2,133,842, roughly the same as it was in 1990."
I'm baffled by this as well. It's impossible to count members. I know they count meeting attendees but say for example that John D. attends 3 meetings a week. He gets counted three times. Let's say Avo O. is doing a 90/90. That person gets counted 7 times and he's only one member. I'm sure that there are people attending only once or twice, wincing, and running the other way. They are counted as "members" too, even though they won't be returning. Many of those getting their slipped signed are not really members, and won't be back after the door hits their ass after that last time. It appears that the tallied 2 million members is inaccurate and likely much lower.
Your points are correct Avo, but I think the way AA works is by taking "ball-park" figures. I know, in my area, at each intergroup business meeting they take a report from each group. One of the things always mentioned is an idea of the average attendance at meetings. Although open to abuse, I can say in my experience this has never been the case. GSRs tend to report the number fairly. Statistically speaking, this is a far superior method than the AA way of counting one day every 3 years. That is truly a snapshot. Regular counts, even every 3 months, are far better as they will show trends, which is what statistics, in this case, are meant to do.
The really interesting thing is the static membership count. 5% is a regularly used number around this question. It is the rate of simultaneous remission and also a regularly touted AA retention rate after a year. If AA's 5% is meant to mean each years membership is 5% more than last year then AA would have a compound growth rate.
There is a simple rule to apply to any number to find out how long it will take to double, treble etc at a constant compound rate of growth. The amout of time to double is 72 divided by the interst rate, in this case 5, so 14 years. Every 14 years the AA membership should double.. This would be the case if AA did no better than standard remission. The fact that AA's membership is not rising is proof positive that AA is having a negative effect on people's recovery.
Back in 1990 nobody was court ordered. But there were plenty of folks coming through the treatment system when insurances would cover it. Now it would be safe to say anywhere I have been, at least 50% of the membership is court ordered.
And I have heard the same. For the past 20 years, membership has stayed at around 2 million worldwide. But I thought it has now dipped below 2 million?
I find it interesting that the Toronto AA Agnostics are watching the "alcoholism treatment industry" as if it is a competing cult in the analysis of the situation. They appear to be watching the "prime prospect hunting grounds" in their area and making changes due to what they perceive as perhaps a threat to their market share.
It’s also worth noting that the alcoholism treatment industry is burgeoning in Toronto. Need to spend a few weeks in rehabilitation? Well, there’s Renascent and Bellwoods and Homewood, a few miles down the road. Homewood recycles 1200 people through its three or four week addiction recovery program every year, and it’s the smallest of the three centres.
The really big name around town, however, and across Ontario, is the Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH). It’s actually pronounced as two syllables (CAM-H). These days if you are the average person in Ontario confronting the problem of alcoholism for the first time, you are probably more likely to think of CAMH before you think of AA. A lot of people in this province owe their recovery in part to CAMH, which is noted for not using words in its program like “God,” ”Him” and ”Power.”
All of the above just to say that AA is apparently no longer the only game in town.
"Tradition 10 - Alcoholics Anonymous has no opinion on outside issues; hence the AA name ought never be drawn into public controversy." Please follow orders from the Interchurch Center if you are an AA member and don't comment.
Even though I know both agnostis and atheists that go to AA, why would a specific ag group be surprised that AA would consider changing the material to be wrong?
From what I understand and have seen, AA's don't like change. Generally speaking that is. Look at the BB. Besides the stories in back it doesn't change, yet science has come along way (even in the addiction world) in the years since the first print.
Clara, remember when we had a long discussion about changing AA? Not that we have anything to do with it, but we played "what if?". There were a lot of points that you opposed simply because it was a “tradition”. That sounded rigid to me. I understand that it can be difficult, but it doesn't make much sense to remain complacent when the world is changing around us.
It isn't that I necessarily even oppose. I just understand the pov. What I also don't understand in the article is the inclusion about the public school system and prayer. AA isn't a public organization. This all stems from changes to the literature.
Comments
avogadno
Sun, 05/06/2012 - 22:42
Permalink
Thanks BB for this post. I
Thanks BB for this post. I hope many people read the article and wonder about how AA is run.
I don't understand how agnostics (let alone atheists) can work the steps even if the word God is taken out. To me it doesn't solve many problems. You still have to believe in something other than yourself keeping you sober. I have yet heard a good logical explanation as to how this is possible.
Interestingly:
"For the last twenty-two years, there has been no growth in AA’s membership. In January of 2012 the number of members worldwide was recorded at 2,133,842, roughly the same as it was in 1990."
I'm baffled by this as well. It's impossible to count members. I know they count meeting attendees but say for example that John D. attends 3 meetings a week. He gets counted three times. Let's say Avo O. is doing a 90/90. That person gets counted 7 times and he's only one member. I'm sure that there are people attending only once or twice, wincing, and running the other way. They are counted as "members" too, even though they won't be returning. Many of those getting their slipped signed are not really members, and won't be back after the door hits their ass after that last time. It appears that the tallied 2 million members is inaccurate and likely much lower.
Pro Empowerment!
Truth about AA: http://orange-papers.org/menu1.html
Expose AA: http://www.expaa.org/
btnben
Tue, 05/08/2012 - 06:09
Permalink
Member numbers
Your points are correct Avo, but I think the way AA works is by taking "ball-park" figures. I know, in my area, at each intergroup business meeting they take a report from each group. One of the things always mentioned is an idea of the average attendance at meetings. Although open to abuse, I can say in my experience this has never been the case. GSRs tend to report the number fairly. Statistically speaking, this is a far superior method than the AA way of counting one day every 3 years. That is truly a snapshot. Regular counts, even every 3 months, are far better as they will show trends, which is what statistics, in this case, are meant to do.
The really interesting thing is the static membership count. 5% is a regularly used number around this question. It is the rate of simultaneous remission and also a regularly touted AA retention rate after a year. If AA's 5% is meant to mean each years membership is 5% more than last year then AA would have a compound growth rate.
There is a simple rule to apply to any number to find out how long it will take to double, treble etc at a constant compound rate of growth. The amout of time to double is 72 divided by the interst rate, in this case 5, so 14 years. Every 14 years the AA membership should double.. This would be the case if AA did no better than standard remission. The fact that AA's membership is not rising is proof positive that AA is having a negative effect on people's recovery.
God damn it, get me a whiskey
Bill W, Deathbed
http://www.youtube.com/watch?source=patrick.net&v=Sdn3O6aaMNc
msafrany
Tue, 05/08/2012 - 05:50
Permalink
Dinosaur
Back in 1990 nobody was court ordered. But there were plenty of folks coming through the treatment system when insurances would cover it. Now it would be safe to say anywhere I have been, at least 50% of the membership is court ordered.
And I have heard the same. For the past 20 years, membership has stayed at around 2 million worldwide. But I thought it has now dipped below 2 million?
JR Harris
Mon, 05/07/2012 - 03:42
Permalink
I find it interesting that AA Agnostics are watching the
I find it interesting that the Toronto AA Agnostics are watching the "alcoholism treatment industry" as if it is a competing cult in the analysis of the situation. They appear to be watching the "prime prospect hunting grounds" in their area and making changes due to what they perceive as perhaps a threat to their market share.
"Tradition 10 - Alcoholics Anonymous has no opinion on outside issues; hence the AA name ought never be drawn into public controversy." Please follow orders from the Interchurch Center if you are an AA member and don't comment.
Clara
Mon, 05/07/2012 - 14:05
Permalink
Even though I know both
Even though I know both agnostis and atheists that go to AA, why would a specific ag group be surprised that AA would consider changing the material to be wrong?
Remember Christopher Stevens when you vote.
avogadno
Mon, 05/07/2012 - 14:14
Permalink
From what I understand and
From what I understand and have seen, AA's don't like change. Generally speaking that is. Look at the BB. Besides the stories in back it doesn't change, yet science has come along way (even in the addiction world) in the years since the first print.
Clara, remember when we had a long discussion about changing AA? Not that we have anything to do with it, but we played "what if?". There were a lot of points that you opposed simply because it was a “tradition”. That sounded rigid to me. I understand that it can be difficult, but it doesn't make much sense to remain complacent when the world is changing around us.
Pro Empowerment!
Truth about AA: http://orange-papers.org/menu1.html
Expose AA: http://www.expaa.org/
Clara
Mon, 05/07/2012 - 14:19
Permalink
It isn't that I necessarily
It isn't that I necessarily even oppose. I just understand the pov. What I also don't understand in the article is the inclusion about the public school system and prayer. AA isn't a public organization. This all stems from changes to the literature.
Remember Christopher Stevens when you vote.